Model estimates are informational, not investment advice. They are uncertain, may be wrong, and do not guarantee future prices.
LI
Lumentum Holdings Inc.
LITENASDAQ
Market cap74.26B USDAs of Sep 22, 2026
Technology· Communication Equipment· US
Latest observed price
$954.49
Session change unavailable
Market closed · NASDAQ
Status checked Oct 24, 2026, 8:49 PM · America/New_York
Observed Sep 21, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC · Last available price
The latest observed price above is market data. Forecast starting prices are issuance-frozen values and are labelled separately in Model Forecast below.
Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) stock forecast and scoring
Review the dated model forecast and five-factor Scorecard for LITE. Each has its own availability and reference date; a score is a relative comparison, not a price prediction.
12M forecast summary
Target date · Sep 21, 2027
Lower Estimate (P10)
$424.42
-55.5%
Median Estimate (P50)
$1,126.15
+18.0% from starting price
Upper Estimate (P90)
$3,143.82
+229.4%
$424.42Median $1,126.15$3,143.82
Median Estimate
$1,126.15
Starting price
$954.49
Change from starting price
+18.0%
Target date
Sep 21, 2027
Data through
Sep 21, 2026
The estimate uses its dated starting price. It does not predict returns from today’s quote.
Lumentum Holdings Inc., established in 2015 and headquartered in San Jose, California, is a global leader in optical and photonic product manufacturing. The company's reach extends across the Americas, Asia-Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. Lumentum operates through two principal business units: Optical Communications (OpComms) and Commercial Lasers. The OpComms segment develops and supplies components, modules, and subsystems essential for transmitting video, audio, and data across high-capacity fiber optic networks. Its offerings encompass a wide range of products, including tunable transponders, transceivers, and transmitter modules, alongside various tunable lasers, receivers, and modulators. Furthermore, this segment provides critical transport products such as reconfigurable optical add/drop multiplexers (ROADMs), optical amplifiers, and optical channel monitors. A comprehensive suite of components is also available, featuring 980nm, multi-mode, and Raman pumps; switches; attenuators; photodetectors; gain flattening filters; isolators; wavelength-division multiplexing (WDM) filters; arrayed waveguide gratings (AWGs); multiplex/de-multiplexers; and integrated passive modules. Distinctive innovations from this segment include the Super Transport Blade, which integrates multiple optical transport functions into a single unit; vertical-cavity surface-emitting lasers (VCSELs); directly modulated and electro-absorption modulated lasers; and advanced laser illumination sources for 3D sensing systems. OpComms serves key clientele in the telecommunications, data communications, consumer, and industrial markets. Conversely, the Commercial Lasers segment produces an array of laser technologies, such as diode-pumped solid-state, fiber, diode, direct-diode, and gas lasers. These are primarily utilized in original equipment manufacturer (OEM) applications. This segment's laser solutions cater to a broad spectrum of markets and uses, including sheet metal processing, general manufacturing, biotechnology, graphics and imaging, remote sensing, and precision machining.
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Research snapshot
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Risk / safety methodology: Safety describes recent price swings and distance from a recent high alongside cash flow and profitability. It is not a credit rating or a promise of protection from loss.
Scoring · Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) stock scorecard
Multi-factor scoring at a glance
Individual factor readings · Shading shows available dimensions only. Overall requires all five scores and a comparable peer group.
Sector · Sector averages available for 0 of 5 dimensions. Sector Avg.
How its valuation measures compare with the group.
Quality
Plus or Pro
How its profitability and operating quality compare.
Safety
26.6
0255075100
Weak
How its price swings, distance from a recent high, cash flow and profitability compare.
Momentum
78.0
0255075100
Strong
How its recent price-trend measures compare.
Company snapshotDescriptive peer comparisonScore date: Sep 22, 2026Historical snapshot
All scores in this Scorecard describe relative characteristics as of the shown date, using historical market data and reported company information; higher scores on the 0–100 scale indicate more favorable characteristics in the relevant comparison group, and none forecasts future performance.
Scores are relative comparisons, not absolute grades: companies with different coverage may be scored on different inputs. Peer positions and input coverage can differ by factor; use the displayed comparison group and date when comparing readings. An 80 is not an 80% chance of a price rise. These scores are not price forecasts or recommendations.
The rank with complete inputs compares only companies with every input for that factor, using the issued scores. Equal partial coverage percentages do not establish matching inputs. Current stockwide snapshots use matching input groups; older snapshots may use a smaller fixed group. Scores do not separately adjust for industry or company size. Growth readings do not establish multi-year persistence or separate share-count effects from EPS growth. Scores are independent of the selected forecast horizon.
Research snapshot
Latest update · 2026-09-21
View Plans to read the previous successful update.
Previous update means the last successfully published update, including across weekends and market holidays. The Analysis tab keeps the information used in its latest report.
Research starting points
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Start with profit, cash generation and financial flexibility. Scores describe relative characteristics and do not predict returns.
Revenue · trailing 12 months
$3.01B
2025-06-29 to 2026-06-27
Net income · trailing 12 months
-$6.94B
2025-06-29 to 2026-06-27
Free cash flow · trailing 12 months
$550.5M
2025-06-29 to 2026-06-27
Consolidated debt
$1.67B
At 2026-06-27
Dates and reporting periods
Market observations, financial reporting periods and report dates can differ. Each measure shows its own period.
Research data through 2026-09-21
Update published 2026-09-22
Currency: USD
Company comparison
Compare company metrics only when their currency, observation date and reporting periods agree. Similar companies are starting points for research, not substitutes for each other.
12-month forecasts show model median estimates (P50), with changes from each forecast’s starting price. Headline scores describe dated company characteristics; they do not predict future performance.
