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Model estimates are informational, not investment advice. They are uncertain, may be wrong, and do not guarantee future prices.
Latest observed price
$56.28
Session change unavailableStatus checked Oct 25, 2026, 12:37 AM · America/New_York
Observed Sep 21, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC · Last available price
The latest observed price above is market data. Forecast starting prices are issuance-frozen values and are labelled separately in Model Forecast below.
Review the dated model forecast and five-factor Scorecard for MAIN. Each has its own availability and reference date; a score is a relative comparison, not a price prediction.
Lower Estimate (P10)
$41.28
-26.7%
Median Estimate (P50)
$59.47
+5.7% from starting price
Upper Estimate (P90)
$73.18
+30.0%
The estimate uses its dated starting price. It does not predict returns from today’s quote.
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Main Street Capital Corporation functions as a Business Development Company (BDC), providing diverse capital solutions across different market segments. Primarily, the firm supplies equity capital to lower middle market companies. These investments support various strategic objectives, including recapitalizations, management buyouts, refinancing, family estate planning, industry consolidation, and growth initiatives for both mature and later-stage emerging businesses. Main Street actively seeks to forge partnerships with entrepreneurs, business owners, and management teams, frequently offering comprehensive, "one-stop" financing alternatives for its lower middle market portfolio. Companies targeted for equity investment in this segment typically have annual revenues between $5 million and $300 million, with individual equity investments generally ranging from $2 million to $75 million, and an enterprise value for the target company usually falling between $3 million and $20 million. The firm is prepared to take stakes from a 5% minority position up to a 50% majority interest. In addition to its equity offerings, Main Street also extends debt capital to middle market companies. These funds are allocated to finance activities such as acquisitions, management buyouts, growth strategies, recapitalizations, and refinancing. Debt transactions in the middle market typically range from $5 million to $50 million per deal, targeting businesses with annual EBITDA between $1 million and $20 million. It is important to note that these middle market debt recipients are generally larger in scale than the companies within Main Street's lower middle market equity portfolio. The firm demonstrates a wide investment scope, engaging with numerous industries. These include, but are not limited to: air freight and logistics, auto components, building products, chemicals, commercial services, computing, construction and engineering, consumer finance and services, electronic equipment, energy (equipment, services, and consumables), financial services, healthcare (equipment and providers), hospitality, internet software and services, IT services, machinery, paper and forest products, professional and industrial services, road and rail transportation, software, specialty retail, and telecommunications. Broadly, this covers sectors within consumer discretionary, energy, materials, technology, and transportation. Main Street Capital Corporation was established in 2007, with its main operations based in Houston, Texas, and an additional office located in Chojnów, Poland.
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Risk / safety methodology: Safety describes recent price swings and distance from a recent high alongside cash flow and profitability. It is not a credit rating or a promise of protection from loss.
Multi-factor scoring at a glance
Individual factor readings · Shading shows available dimensions only. Overall requires all five scores and a comparable peer group.
A combined view of Value, Quality, Growth, Safety and Momentum. Review the factor breakdown alongside the total.
Scores and key insights for each dimension
How its fundamental growth measures compare.
How its valuation measures compare with the group.
How its profitability and operating quality compare.
How its price swings, distance from a recent high, cash flow and profitability compare.
How its recent price-trend measures compare.
All scores in this Scorecard describe relative characteristics as of the shown date, using historical market data and reported company information; higher scores on the 0–100 scale indicate more favorable characteristics in the relevant comparison group, and none forecasts future performance.
Higher scores indicate higher relative readings.
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Scores are relative comparisons, not absolute grades: companies with different coverage may be scored on different inputs. Peer positions and input coverage can differ by factor; use the displayed comparison group and date when comparing readings. An 80 is not an 80% chance of a price rise. These scores are not price forecasts or recommendations.
The rank with complete inputs compares only companies with every input for that factor, using the issued scores. Equal partial coverage percentages do not establish matching inputs. Current stockwide snapshots use matching input groups; older snapshots may use a smaller fixed group. Scores do not separately adjust for industry or company size. Growth readings do not establish multi-year persistence or separate share-count effects from EPS growth. Scores are independent of the selected forecast horizon.
Latest update · 2026-09-21
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Start with profit, cash generation and financial flexibility. Scores describe relative characteristics and do not predict returns.
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Economic observations provide background. Observation periods and release dates can differ; these readings do not establish a company-specific effect.
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ARCC
Latest observed price
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Observed
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12-month forecast
Median (P50)
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+7.7%
From $19.44 starting price
Target Sep 21, 2027
Overall Score
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12-month forecast
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$126.41
Observed
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12-month forecast
Median (P50)
$137.31
+8.6%
From $126.41 starting price
Target Sep 21, 2027
Overall Score
StrongForecast basis Sep 21, 2026
Score date Sep 22, 2026
KKR
Latest observed price
$100.83
Observed
Sep 21, 2026
12-month forecast
Median (P50)
$112.30
+11.4%
From $100.83 starting price
Target Sep 21, 2027
Overall Score
ModerateForecast basis Sep 21, 2026
Score date Sep 22, 2026
12-month forecasts show model median estimates (P50), with changes from each forecast’s starting price. Headline scores describe dated company characteristics; they do not predict future performance.
