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Model estimates are informational, not investment advice. They are uncertain, may be wrong, and do not guarantee future prices.
Latest observed price
$112.33
Session change unavailableStatus checked Oct 24, 2026, 6:48 PM · America/New_York
Observed Sep 21, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC · Last available price
The latest observed price above is market data. Forecast starting prices are issuance-frozen values and are labelled separately in Model Forecast below.
Review the dated model forecast and five-factor Scorecard for DLTR. Each has its own availability and reference date; a score is a relative comparison, not a price prediction.
Lower Estimate (P10)
$67.60
-39.8%
Median Estimate (P50)
$123.47
+9.9% from starting price
Upper Estimate (P90)
$178.03
+58.5%
The estimate uses its dated starting price. It does not predict returns from today’s quote.
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Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) operates as a leading discount retailer, managing its extensive operations through two principal divisions: Dollar Tree and Family Dollar. The Dollar Tree segment distinguishes itself by offering all its merchandise at a consistent price of $1.25. Its product range is broad, encompassing essential consumables like confectionery, various food items, health and personal care products, household cleaning chemicals, paper goods, and frozen or refrigerated foods. Beyond these daily necessities, customers can find a diverse selection of general merchandise, including toys, resilient housewares, gifts, stationery, party essentials, greeting cards, softline apparel, and arts and crafts supplies. The segment also prominently features seasonal items for holidays such as Christmas, Easter, Halloween, and Valentine's Day. By January 29, 2022, this division maintained a substantial presence with 8,061 retail locations across its Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada brands, supported by 15 distribution centers in the U.S. and an additional two in Canada. Conversely, the Family Dollar segment functions as a general merchandise discount chain with varying prices. Its inventory is comprehensive, covering a wide array of consumable goods such as groceries, beverages, tobacco, personal care and health products, household chemicals, paper products, hardware, automotive accessories, diapers, batteries, and pet food and supplies. Additionally, the segment provides home products, which include housewares, home décor, giftware, and domestics like bedding and towels. Shoppers can also find apparel and accessories, encompassing clothing, fashion items, and footwear. Seasonal and electronics merchandise, ranging from holiday-specific goods to pre-paid cellular phones and services, along with stationery, school supplies, and toys, are also key offerings. As of January 29, 2022, the Family Dollar brand operated 8,016 stores and was supported by 11 distribution centers. Founded in 1986, Dollar Tree, Inc. is headquartered in Chesapeake, Virginia.
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Risk / safety methodology: Safety describes recent price swings and distance from a recent high alongside cash flow and profitability. It is not a credit rating or a promise of protection from loss.
Multi-factor scoring at a glance
Individual factor readings · Shading shows available dimensions only. Overall requires all five scores and a comparable peer group.
A combined view of Value, Quality, Growth, Safety and Momentum. Review the factor breakdown alongside the total.
Scores and key insights for each dimension
How its fundamental growth measures compare.
How its valuation measures compare with the group.
How its profitability and operating quality compare.
How its price swings, distance from a recent high, cash flow and profitability compare.
How its recent price-trend measures compare.
All scores in this Scorecard describe relative characteristics as of the shown date, using historical market data and reported company information; higher scores on the 0–100 scale indicate more favorable characteristics in the relevant comparison group, and none forecasts future performance.
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Scores are relative comparisons, not absolute grades: companies with different coverage may be scored on different inputs. Peer positions and input coverage can differ by factor; use the displayed comparison group and date when comparing readings. An 80 is not an 80% chance of a price rise. These scores are not price forecasts or recommendations.
The rank with complete inputs compares only companies with every input for that factor, using the issued scores. Equal partial coverage percentages do not establish matching inputs. Current stockwide snapshots use matching input groups; older snapshots may use a smaller fixed group. Scores do not separately adjust for industry or company size. Growth readings do not establish multi-year persistence or separate share-count effects from EPS growth. Scores are independent of the selected forecast horizon.
Latest update · 2026-09-21
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12-month forecast
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12-month forecast
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COST
Latest observed price
$898.48
Observed
Sep 21, 2026
12-month forecast
Median (P50)
$951.72
+5.9%
From $898.48 starting price
Target Sep 21, 2027
Overall Score
WeakForecast basis Sep 21, 2026
Score date Sep 22, 2026
12-month forecasts show model median estimates (P50), with changes from each forecast’s starting price. Headline scores describe dated company characteristics; they do not predict future performance.
