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Model estimates are informational, not investment advice. They are uncertain, may be wrong, and do not guarantee future prices.
Latest observed price
$40.86
Session change unavailableStatus checked Oct 25, 2026, 1:28 AM · America/New_York
Observed Sep 21, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC · Last available price
The latest observed price above is market data. Forecast starting prices are issuance-frozen values and are labelled separately in Model Forecast below.
Review the dated model forecast and five-factor Scorecard for CG. Each has its own availability and reference date; a score is a relative comparison, not a price prediction.
Lower Estimate (P10)
$25.00
-38.8%
Median Estimate (P50)
$45.42
+11.2% from starting price
Upper Estimate (P90)
$64.62
+58.1%
The estimate uses its dated starting price. It does not predict returns from today’s quote.
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The Carlyle Group Inc. is a leading global investment firm that employs both direct investment and fund-of-fund strategies. Its direct investment expertise is extensive, encompassing management-led leveraged buyouts, privatizations, and divestitures, as well as strategic minority equity investments. The firm also allocates capital to structured credit opportunities, global distressed and corporate situations, and small-to-middle market enterprises. Its venture and growth capital activities span the full spectrum, from seed/startup and early-stage funding to emerging growth, turnaround situations, mid-venture, late-venture, and Private Investment in Public Equity (PIPES). Carlyle structures its investments across four primary segments: Corporate Private Equity, Real Assets, Global Market Strategies, and Solutions. Carlyle's investment interests are remarkably broad, covering an extensive array of sectors worldwide. These include major industries like industrials (such as manufacturing, building products, chemicals, and metals), consumer and retail (including food and beverage, consumer products, and services), aerospace and defense, technology (covering software, semiconductors, and communications infrastructure), healthcare (services, pharmaceuticals, and medical devices), energy and power, real estate (from office and hotel properties to residential and specialized segments like student housing and senior living), financial services, transportation, telecommunications, media, business services, agribusiness, fintech, utilities, and gaming. The firm actively seeks out growing businesses, including those with overleveraged balance sheets. Typically, Carlyle aims to hold its investments for four to six years, although some may be held for three to five years, with specific mandates for automotive and transportation sector holdings also falling within the four-to-six-year range. With a significant global footprint, Carlyle actively invests across North America (including specific U.S. regions, Mexico, Argentina, Brazil, Chile, and Peru), Europe (encompassing Western, Central-Eastern, and Nordic regions), Asia (including India, Southeast Asia, Korea, Japan, and China), Australia, New Zealand, the Middle East, and both Sub-Saharan and North Africa. The firm has particular geographic interests, such as focusing on the food, financial, and healthcare industries in Western China, and in Japan, it specifically targets companies valued between $100 million and $150 million, avoiding those with over 1,000 employees. Financially, Carlyle typically commits $1 million to $50 million for venture investments and $50 million to $2 billion for buyouts. It targets companies with an enterprise value between $31.57 million and $1 billion, sales ranging from $10 million to $500 million, a market capitalization exceeding $50 million, and EBITDA between $5 million and $25 million. Carlyle is flexible regarding its ownership stake, often taking either a majority or a minority position, and frequently acts as the lead equity investor, originating and structuring transactions. The Carlyle Group Inc. was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Washington, D.C. It maintains a robust global presence with additional offices in 21 countries across five continents: North America, South America, Asia, Australia, and Europe.
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Risk / safety methodology: Safety describes recent price swings and distance from a recent high alongside cash flow and profitability. It is not a credit rating or a promise of protection from loss.
Multi-factor scoring at a glance
Individual factor readings · Shading shows available dimensions only. Overall requires all five scores and a comparable peer group.
A combined view of Value, Quality, Growth, Safety and Momentum. Review the factor breakdown alongside the total.
Scores and key insights for each dimension
How its fundamental growth measures compare.
How its valuation measures compare with the group.
How its profitability and operating quality compare.
How its price swings, distance from a recent high, cash flow and profitability compare.
How its recent price-trend measures compare.
All scores in this Scorecard describe relative characteristics as of the shown date, using historical market data and reported company information; higher scores on the 0–100 scale indicate more favorable characteristics in the relevant comparison group, and none forecasts future performance.
Higher scores indicate higher relative readings.
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Scores are relative comparisons, not absolute grades: companies with different coverage may be scored on different inputs. Peer positions and input coverage can differ by factor; use the displayed comparison group and date when comparing readings. An 80 is not an 80% chance of a price rise. These scores are not price forecasts or recommendations.
The rank with complete inputs compares only companies with every input for that factor, using the issued scores. Equal partial coverage percentages do not establish matching inputs. Current stockwide snapshots use matching input groups; older snapshots may use a smaller fixed group. Scores do not separately adjust for industry or company size. Growth readings do not establish multi-year persistence or separate share-count effects from EPS growth. Scores are independent of the selected forecast horizon.
Latest update · 2026-09-21
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Start with profit, cash generation and financial flexibility. Scores describe relative characteristics and do not predict returns.
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Economic observations provide background. Observation periods and release dates can differ; these readings do not establish a company-specific effect.
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APO
Latest observed price
$127.91
Observed
Sep 21, 2026
12-month forecast
Median (P50)
$138.18
+8.0%
From $127.91 starting price
Target Sep 21, 2027
Overall Score
StrongForecast basis Sep 21, 2026
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$126.67
Observed
Sep 21, 2026
12-month forecast
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$142.39
+12.4%
From $126.67 starting price
Target Sep 21, 2027
Overall Score
ModerateForecast basis Sep 21, 2026
Score date Sep 22, 2026
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Latest observed price
$1,090.27
Observed
Sep 21, 2026
12-month forecast
Median (P50)
$1,141.65
+4.7%
From $1,090.27 starting price
Target Sep 21, 2027
Overall Score
StrongForecast basis Sep 21, 2026
Score date Sep 22, 2026
BX
Latest observed price
$126.41
Observed
Sep 21, 2026
12-month forecast
Median (P50)
$137.31
+8.6%
From $126.41 starting price
Target Sep 21, 2027
Overall Score
StrongForecast basis Sep 21, 2026
Score date Sep 22, 2026
12-month forecasts show model median estimates (P50), with changes from each forecast’s starting price. Headline scores describe dated company characteristics; they do not predict future performance.
