Model estimates are informational, not investment advice. They are uncertain, may be wrong, and do not guarantee future prices.
BA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABANYSE
Market cap277.46B USDAs of Sep 22, 2026
Consumer Cyclical· Specialty Retail· CN
Latest observed price
$115.76
Session change unavailable
Market closed · NYSE
Status checked Oct 24, 2026, 6:47 PM · America/New_York
Observed Sep 21, 2026, 7:59 PM UTC · Last available price
The latest observed price above is market data. Forecast starting prices are issuance-frozen values and are labelled separately in Model Forecast below.
Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) stock forecast and scoring
Review the dated model forecast and five-factor Scorecard for BABA. Each has its own availability and reference date; a score is a relative comparison, not a price prediction.
12M forecast summary
Target date · Sep 21, 2027
Lower Estimate (P10)
$63.45
-45.2%
Median Estimate (P50)
$132.53
+14.5% from starting price
Upper Estimate (P90)
$207.84
+79.5%
$63.45Median $132.53$207.84
Median Estimate
$132.53
Starting price
$115.76
Change from starting price
+14.5%
Target date
Sep 21, 2027
Data through
Sep 21, 2026
The estimate uses its dated starting price. It does not predict returns from today’s quote.
Alibaba Group Holding Limited, through its various subsidiaries, furnishes crucial technological infrastructure and extensive marketing channels. This comprehensive support allows merchants, brands, retailers, and other businesses to effectively engage with their customer base, both within the People's Republic of China and across international markets. The company's operations are organized across seven primary segments: China Commerce, International Commerce, Local Consumer Services, Cainiao (its logistics network), Cloud Computing, Digital Media and Entertainment, and Innovation Initiatives and Others. The company's extensive digital ecosystem features premier online retail platforms like Taobao and Tmall. Wholesale business-to-business transactions are facilitated through 1688.com and Alibaba.com. Globally, it operates retail platforms such as AliExpress, Lazada, Trendyol, and Daraz. For fresh goods and groceries, it offers Freshippo, and Tmall Global specializes in import e-commerce. Monetization and advertising solutions are provided via Alimama, its proprietary platform, which offers diverse marketing services including pay-for-performance, in-feed, and display ads, supported by the Taobao Ad Network and Exchange for real-time bidding. Logistics operations are primarily handled by the Cainiao Network. Its local consumer services encompass Ele.me for on-demand food and delivery, Koubei for restaurant and local service directories, and Fliggy for travel booking. Alibaba Cloud offers a wide array of services, including elastic computing, data storage, networking, security, database management, big data analytics, and Internet of Things (IoT) solutions. It also supplies hardware, software licenses, installation, and application development and maintenance. The digital media and entertainment division includes Youku, an online video platform; Quark, an information search and content consumption tool; and Alibaba Pictures, collectively offering diverse content spanning films, live events, news feeds, literature, and music. Its innovation portfolio further extends to Amap, a mobile application for digital mapping and navigation; DingTalk, a business communication and efficiency platform; the Tmall Genie smart speaker; and Qwen, an advanced artificial intelligence chatbot. Founded in 1999, Alibaba Group is headquartered in Hangzhou, People's Republic of China.
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Research snapshot
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Risk / safety methodology: Safety describes recent price swings and distance from a recent high alongside cash flow and profitability. It is not a credit rating or a promise of protection from loss.
Scoring · Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) stock scorecard
Multi-factor scoring at a glance
Individual factor readings · Shading shows available dimensions only. Overall requires all five scores and a comparable peer group.
Sector · Sector averages available for 0 of 5 dimensions. Sector Avg.
How its valuation measures compare with the group.
Quality
Plus or Pro
How its profitability and operating quality compare.
Safety
14.0
0255075100
Very Weak
How its price swings, distance from a recent high, cash flow and profitability compare.
Momentum
59.5
0255075100
Moderate
How its recent price-trend measures compare.
Company snapshotDescriptive peer comparisonScore date: Sep 22, 2026Historical snapshot
All scores in this Scorecard describe relative characteristics as of the shown date, using historical market data and reported company information; higher scores on the 0–100 scale indicate more favorable characteristics in the relevant comparison group, and none forecasts future performance.
Scores are relative comparisons, not absolute grades: companies with different coverage may be scored on different inputs. Peer positions and input coverage can differ by factor; use the displayed comparison group and date when comparing readings. An 80 is not an 80% chance of a price rise. These scores are not price forecasts or recommendations.
The rank with complete inputs compares only companies with every input for that factor, using the issued scores. Equal partial coverage percentages do not establish matching inputs. Current stockwide snapshots use matching input groups; older snapshots may use a smaller fixed group. Scores do not separately adjust for industry or company size. Growth readings do not establish multi-year persistence or separate share-count effects from EPS growth. Scores are independent of the selected forecast horizon.
Research snapshot
Latest update · 2026-09-21
View Plans to read the previous successful update.
Previous update means the last successfully published update, including across weekends and market holidays. The Analysis tab keeps the information used in its latest report.
Research starting points
Open a ready-made screen, review its filters and adapt it to your questions.
Start with profit, cash generation and financial flexibility. Scores describe relative characteristics and do not predict returns.
Revenue · trailing 12 months
CN¥1.04T
2025-07-01 to 2026-06-30
Net income · trailing 12 months
CN¥73.53B
2025-07-01 to 2026-06-30
Free cash flow · trailing 12 months
-CN¥77.47B
2025-07-01 to 2026-06-30
Consolidated debt
CN¥266.62B
At 2026-06-30
Dates and reporting periods
Market observations, financial reporting periods and report dates can differ. Each measure shows its own period.
Research data through 2026-09-21
Update published 2026-09-22
Currency: CNY
Company comparison
Compare company metrics only when their currency, observation date and reporting periods agree. Similar companies are starting points for research, not substitutes for each other.
12-month forecasts show model median estimates (P50), with changes from each forecast’s starting price. Headline scores describe dated company characteristics; they do not predict future performance.
