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Model estimates are informational, not investment advice. They are uncertain, may be wrong, and do not guarantee future prices.
Latest observed price
$44.68
Session change unavailableStatus checked Oct 25, 2026, 12:37 AM · America/New_York
Observed Sep 21, 2026, 7:59 PM UTC · Last available price
The latest observed price above is market data. Forecast starting prices are issuance-frozen values and are labelled separately in Model Forecast below.
Review the dated model forecast and five-factor Scorecard for AA. Each has its own availability and reference date; a score is a relative comparison, not a price prediction.
Lower Estimate (P10)
$23.20
-48.1%
Median Estimate (P50)
$53.96
+20.8% from starting price
Upper Estimate (P90)
$91.46
+104.7%
The estimate uses its dated starting price. It does not predict returns from today’s quote.
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Alcoa Corporation stands as a global industrial leader, primarily focused on the production and sale of bauxite, alumina, and aluminum products. Its extensive operations span multiple continents, including North America (United States, Canada), Europe (Spain, Iceland, Norway), South America (Brazil), and Australia, along with other international markets. The company's activities are strategically divided into three principal segments: Bauxite, Alumina, and Aluminum. Alcoa initiates its process with bauxite mining. This raw material is then refined into alumina, which is subsequently sold to customers for conversion into various industrial chemical products. Additionally, the company is involved in aluminum smelting and casting, supplying primary aluminum in forms like alloy or value-added ingots. These aluminum products cater to a diverse range of industries, including transportation, building and construction, packaging, wire manufacturing, and other industrial applications. Beyond its core metals business, Alcoa also operates hydroelectric power generation facilities. These plants generate and sell electricity into the wholesale market, serving a wide array of clients, from traders and large industrial consumers to distribution companies and other power generators. Founded in 1888, the company is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. It officially adopted the name Alcoa Corporation in October 2016, prior to which it was known as Alcoa Upstream Corporation.
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Risk / safety methodology: Safety describes recent price swings and distance from a recent high alongside cash flow and profitability. It is not a credit rating or a promise of protection from loss.
Multi-factor scoring at a glance
Individual factor readings · Shading shows available dimensions only. Overall requires all five scores and a comparable peer group.
A combined view of Value, Quality, Growth, Safety and Momentum. Review the factor breakdown alongside the total.
Scores and key insights for each dimension
How its fundamental growth measures compare.
How its valuation measures compare with the group.
How its profitability and operating quality compare.
How its price swings, distance from a recent high, cash flow and profitability compare.
How its recent price-trend measures compare.
All scores in this Scorecard describe relative characteristics as of the shown date, using historical market data and reported company information; higher scores on the 0–100 scale indicate more favorable characteristics in the relevant comparison group, and none forecasts future performance.
Higher scores indicate higher relative readings.
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Scores are relative comparisons, not absolute grades: companies with different coverage may be scored on different inputs. Peer positions and input coverage can differ by factor; use the displayed comparison group and date when comparing readings. An 80 is not an 80% chance of a price rise. These scores are not price forecasts or recommendations.
The rank with complete inputs compares only companies with every input for that factor, using the issued scores. Equal partial coverage percentages do not establish matching inputs. Current stockwide snapshots use matching input groups; older snapshots may use a smaller fixed group. Scores do not separately adjust for industry or company size. Growth readings do not establish multi-year persistence or separate share-count effects from EPS growth. Scores are independent of the selected forecast horizon.
Latest update · 2026-09-21
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Start with profit, cash generation and financial flexibility. Scores describe relative characteristics and do not predict returns.
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Economic observations provide background. Observation periods and release dates can differ; these readings do not establish a company-specific effect.
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CDE
Latest observed price
$19.52
Observed
Sep 21, 2026
12-month forecast
Median (P50)
$23.27
+19.2%
From $19.52 starting price
Target Sep 21, 2027
Overall Score
StrongForecast basis Sep 21, 2026
Score date Sep 22, 2026
EMN
Latest observed price
$65.09
Observed
Sep 21, 2026
12-month forecast
Median (P50)
$68.28
+4.9%
From $65.09 starting price
Target Sep 21, 2027
Overall Score
ModerateForecast basis Sep 21, 2026
Score date Sep 22, 2026
HL
Latest observed price
$18.35
Observed
Sep 21, 2026
12-month forecast
Median (P50)
$21.75
+18.5%
From $18.35 starting price
Target Sep 21, 2027
Overall Score
ModerateForecast basis Sep 21, 2026
Score date Sep 22, 2026
MOS
Latest observed price
$24.07
Observed
Sep 21, 2026
12-month forecast
Median (P50)
$27.51
+14.3%
From $24.07 starting price
Target Sep 21, 2027
Overall Score
Very WeakForecast basis Sep 21, 2026
Score date Sep 22, 2026
12-month forecasts show model median estimates (P50), with changes from each forecast’s starting price. Headline scores describe dated company characteristics; they do not predict future performance.
